List of Flash News about prediction market
| Time | Details |
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2025-10-23 02:27 |
Polymarket Clearing to Serve as DraftKings Prediction Market Clearinghouse if Launched after CFTC-Regulated Railbird Acquisition, Boosting B2B Expansion
According to @PANewsCN, Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan said that following DraftKings’ acquisition of CFTC-regulated Railbird, if DraftKings launches a prediction market, Polymarket Clearing will be its designated clearinghouse (source: @PANewsCN). According to @PANewsCN, this move will advance Polymarket’s B2B business by providing clearing services tied to a CFTC-regulated entity (source: @PANewsCN). |
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2025-10-17 20:00 |
Polymarket Odds Show 52% Chance BTC Drops Below $100K This Month — Actionable Downside Risk Signal for Crypto Traders
According to the source, Polymarket market pricing indicates a 52 percent probability that BTC trades below 100,000 dollars before month-end, source: Polymarket. A probability above 50 percent signals a mild downside skew and suggests hedging demand near the 100,000 level in the near term, source: Polymarket. Traders can monitor changes in this implied probability to time entries and manage short-term risk in BTC spot and options, source: Polymarket. |
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2025-10-16 23:00 |
BTC Prediction Markets Flip Bearish: MyriadMarkets Shows 55% Odds of Bitcoin Dropping to $100K vs $120K — Trade Setups and Risk Levels
According to the source, prediction market data on MyriadMarkets now assigns a 55% probability that BTC moves down to $100K, indicating a bearish skew in near-term positioning (source: user-provided content citing MyriadMarkets odds, Oct 16, 2025). The source frames $100K versus $120K as the key range, making these the critical levels for breakout or breakdown trades and for setting stops and targets in futures and options strategies (source: user-provided content; MyriadMarkets odds). If the $100K outcome stays above 50% on MyriadMarkets, short bias and protective hedges such as put spreads around the 100K strike have higher expected value; if odds flip toward the $120K scenario, momentum longs regain edge with invalidation below recent range lows (source: user-provided content; MyriadMarkets odds). |
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2025-10-13 10:30 |
BNB Chain Prediction Markets Heating Up: Yzi Labs-Backed Opinion Leads as Binance Ramps Resources; Traders Watch BNB (BNB)
According to @ai_9684xtpa, attention is rotating from perp DEXs to prediction markets on BNB Chain as Binance-linked resources and Yzi Labs funding concentrate on this track (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author reports that @heyibinance urged teams to build a prediction market on BNB Chain with Yzi Labs investment, prompting many teams to announce participation (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author points to Aster as evidence that the BSC + Yzi Labs + CZ backing can accelerate projects and that Yzi investment is a key entry to the BSC ecosystem (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author identifies Opinion (@opinionlabsxyz) as a Yzi Labs portfolio project invested in 2024 and expects multiple competitors to emerge in the same vertical (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author states Binance is allocating unprecedented resources to selected sectors and that Meme Rush is using four.meme as a base launchpad, strengthening the funnel for BNB ecosystem projects (source: @ai_9684xtpa). Traders can monitor BNB (BNB) and Yzi-backed prediction-market projects like Opinion for potential narrative-driven flows as Binance resources concentrate on this sector (source: @ai_9684xtpa). |
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2025-10-10 19:02 |
Polymarket Token Key Timeline Update: Sources Say No 2025 Launch, Traders Shift TGE Plans
According to the source, unnamed sources indicate a Polymarket token is in development but is unlikely to launch in 2025. Source: Oct 10, 2025 social media post. Traders anticipating a 2025 token-generation event or airdrop should recalibrate timelines to 2026 or later pending official confirmation. Source: Oct 10, 2025 social media post. The post provides no confirmed ticker, tokenomics, listing venues, or snapshot details, offering no immediate trading catalysts. Source: Oct 10, 2025 social media post. |
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2025-10-08 22:00 |
Polymarket Odds: 83% Chance U.S. Government Shutdown Lasts Past Oct 15 — Trading Alert for Macro and Crypto Markets
According to the source, Polymarket pricing shows an 83% market-implied probability that the U.S. government shutdown extends past Oct 15 as of Oct 8, 2025, signaling elevated event risk into mid-October for market participants. Source: Polymarket market data. |
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2025-10-07 05:00 |
Bitcoin (BTC) Prediction Market Update: Polymarket Odds Show 61% Chance of Hitting $130,000 in October 2025
According to the source, Polymarket pricing implies a 61% probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach $130,000 before the end of this month, based on Yes shares trading near $0.61 in the relevant market as of Oct 7, 2025 (source: Polymarket market data, Oct 7, 2025). For traders, this sets a 61%/39% risk framework for upside versus failure-to-touch scenarios this month, which can inform position sizing and conditional orders around the $130,000 trigger level (source: Polymarket market data, Oct 7, 2025). |
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2025-09-16 23:10 |
PUMP Token 4X Rally vs Bearish Prediction Markets: PUMP Price-Sentiment Divergence Explained
According to the source, PUMP has risen roughly 4x from its July low while predictors on MyriadMarkets remain bearish, indicating a divergence between recent price performance and prediction market sentiment (source). According to the source, the referenced charts aim to explain why sentiment is still negative despite the multiweek rally (source). |
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2025-09-15 18:39 |
Kalshi Prediction Market Surpasses $1 Billion Monthly Volume: Key Trading Benchmark
According to @KobeissiLetter, prediction market Kalshi has surpassed $1 billion in monthly trading volume, with the milestone referenced to Kalshi’s own announcement on X (source: The Kobeissi Letter via X, Sep 15, 2025; Kalshi via X). The cited posts disclose a monthly total but provide no product-level or historical breakdowns, limiting further quantitative comparison from the source material (source: The Kobeissi Letter via X; Kalshi via X). The $1 billion monthly figure provides a stated liquidity benchmark for sizing and routing trades on the venue as reported (source: Kalshi via X; The Kobeissi Letter via X). |
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2025-09-15 18:20 |
Kalshi Prediction Market Reaches $1 Billion in Monthly Volume, Forbes Reports
According to @StockMKTNewz, Forbes reports that prediction market platform Kalshi is processing about $1 billion in monthly trading volume as of September 15, 2025 (source: Forbes; source: @StockMKTNewz). The post did not provide additional details on market categories, user metrics, or fee structure beyond the headline volume figure (source: @StockMKTNewz). No crypto-specific markets or impacts were specified in the cited summary (source: @StockMKTNewz). |
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2025-07-22 20:09 |
Crypto Prediction Market Polymarket Considers Launching Its Own Stablecoin: What Traders Need to Know
According to @AggrNews, the crypto prediction market platform Polymarket is reportedly considering the launch of its own stablecoin. This development could significantly impact the platform's ecosystem by potentially improving capital efficiency, creating new yield opportunities, and reducing its dependence on third-party stablecoins like USDC. For traders, the introduction of a native stablecoin could be a precursor to further platform developments, including a potential future token airdrop, which is a highly watched catalyst. |
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2025-07-04 12:13 |
Prediction Market Battle: Polymarket and Kalshi Both Secure $1B Unicorn Valuations in Competitive Funding Rounds
According to @nic__carter, the prediction market sector is heating up as two key players, Polymarket and Kalshi, have reportedly achieved $1 billion unicorn valuations. Kalshi, a federally regulated platform, raised over $100 million in a round led by crypto-focused VC firm Paradigm, as reported by Bloomberg. In a parallel move, blockchain-based Polymarket is reportedly raising $200 million in a round led by Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, according to The Information. For traders, key metrics show a competitive landscape: Polymarket currently leads in active trading volume with nearly $600 million compared to Kalshi's $113 million, based on data from Kalshi's API. Furthermore, a Dune dashboard indicates Polymarket has around 186,000 active traders. Polymarket's potential future token launch, previously reported by The Information, remains a significant point of interest for crypto investors evaluating the platform's ecosystem. |
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2025-07-04 11:43 |
Polymarket's $1B Valuation Surge Fuels Massive Demand for USDC Stablecoin, Coinbase Reports
According to @nic__carter, the blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket is nearing a $200 million funding round at a $1 billion valuation, reportedly led by Peter Thiel's Founders Fund. While Polymarket's growth is significant, Coinbase analysts identify stablecoins as the 'quiet winners'. All platform trades settle in Circle's USDC on the Polygon network, creating substantial, high-velocity demand for the stablecoin. This dynamic is evidenced by Polymarket processing over $14 billion in lifetime volume and clearing $1 billion in May alone with 20,000 to 30,000 daily active traders, as noted in the Coinbase research report. The report also highlights that this activity creates corresponding spikes in USDC transfers and bridge activity, cementing the stablecoin's role in real-time market infrastructure. This momentum is expected to grow following a new content partnership with Elon Musk's X. |
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2025-06-06 14:52 |
Polymarket Named Official Prediction Market Partner with X: Impact on Crypto Trading and Prediction Markets
According to Aggr News, Polymarket has been announced as the official prediction market partner for X, a move that is expected to enhance liquidity and transparency in the crypto prediction markets (source: Aggr News on Twitter, June 6, 2025). This partnership could drive increased user engagement and trading volumes on Polymarket, as it leverages X’s vast user base and real-time data capabilities. Traders should monitor the integration’s effect on prediction market token prices and related DeFi protocols, as such collaborations have historically led to higher platform activity and wider adoption in the crypto ecosystem. |
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2025-06-06 10:23 |
$HILO V5 Prediction Market Launch, Casino & P2P Trading Create High-Growth Potential for Crypto Traders in 2025
According to @AltcoinGordon, $HILO is set to launch its V5 prediction market this month, alongside new casino and P2P trading features, all of which signal significant trading opportunities. The project operates with a market cap under $4 million, employs regular supply burns each round, and has avoided VC funding, presale, or KOL airdrops, creating a unique low-float environment. These developments could drive price volatility and liquidity for crypto traders, making $HILO a notable altcoin for active trading in 2025 (Source: @AltcoinGordon, June 6, 2025). |
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2024-10-05 20:03 |
dYdX Foundation Initiates Vote on TRUMPWIN-USD Market Addition
According to dYdX Foundation, an on-chain vote has been initiated to decide whether the TRUMPWIN-USD prediction market should be added to the dYdX platform. The voting process is open to the community and will conclude on October 8, 2024, at 18:39 UTC. This decision could potentially impact trading strategies and market dynamics on dYdX. |