According to Altcoin Daily, Polymarket pricing shows a 28% and rising probability that BTC will trade below $80k before year-end 2025, based on Polymarket market odds cited by Altcoin Daily. Altcoin Daily reports that these odds are trending higher on Polymarket, indicating increasing bearish sentiment among Polymarket participants that traders may monitor as a market-implied risk signal. Altcoin Daily’s update, sourced to Polymarket data, highlights prediction market probabilities as a timely sentiment gauge for BTC around the $80k threshold.

According to @CoinMarketCap, Polymarket has become Yahoo Finance’s exclusive prediction market partner, bringing its probability data to over 150 million monthly visitors (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025). @CoinMarketCap also states the platform is tracking toward record monthly volumes, indicating elevated trading activity within Polymarket’s markets (source: @CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025).

According to @EmberCN, the LOL S15 Grand Final BO5 is tied 2-2 and the deciding game will determine the champion, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, on Polymarket the largest T1 backer staked $1.58M for a potential $2.40M payout if T1 wins, implying an average entry of about $0.658 per $1 payout and a 52% return on stake, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, the largest KT backer staked $1.41M for a potential $3.44M payout if KT wins, implying an average entry of about $0.410 per $1 payout and a 144% return on stake, source: @EmberCN. According to @EmberCN, the referenced positions are visible at polymarket.com/@fengdubiying and polymarket.com/@bossoskil?tab=positions for verification, source: @EmberCN.

According to @cryptorover, Polymarket traders now predict the U.S. government shutdown will extend until November 20, identifying Nov. 20 as the key date to monitor for event-risk timing in crypto markets (source: @cryptorover).

According to @burrytracker, the post shares a direct Polymarket market link without additional context, providing no stated odds, prices, or directionality in the tweet itself, source: @burrytracker on X, Nov 8, 2025. Traders should open the referenced Polymarket market to review live implied probabilities, 24h trading volume, liquidity depth, expiration date, and resolution criteria before taking any positions, source: Polymarket. Because the tweet does not disclose the market’s current price or bias, any trade setup should be driven by the market’s displayed price action, spreads, and order flow on Polymarket, source: @burrytracker on X; Polymarket.

According to the source, odds on Polymarket currently imply a 48% probability that BTC reaches a seven-figure price, i.e., $1,000,000 per coin, based on active prediction market pricing (source: Polymarket). This corresponds to a fair value near 0.48 USDC per yes-contract for binary exposure to the event, which traders can use as a benchmark for positioning or relative-value plays (source: Polymarket). Comparing your own probability to 48% helps size long-dated BTC upside bets or hedges in options and structured products when market odds deviate from your view (source: Polymarket). Tracking shifts in Polymarket odds, liquidity, and volume can flag changing sentiment that may precede flows in BTC spot and derivatives markets (source: Polymarket).

According to @garyblack00, Polymarket assigns a 91% probability that Tesla (TSLA) shareholders will approve Elon Musk’s new pay package today, offering a market-implied benchmark for traders tracking this vote, source: Gary Black on X (Nov 6, 2025).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi markets assign a 63% probability that Alex Karp or Palantir (PLTR) will say the word 'lethal' on tomorrow's earnings call, indicating the event is more likely than not based on prediction market odds. source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Nov 2, 2025). A 63% quoted likelihood frames this as a binary, time-bound event tracked by a real-money prediction market, providing a quantified sentiment gauge ahead of the PLTR earnings call. source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Nov 2, 2025). The source does not reference any direct cryptocurrency market impact from this event, noting only the earnings call language probability for PLTR. source: @StockMKTNewz on X (Nov 2, 2025).

According to @PANewsCN, Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan said that following DraftKings’ acquisition of CFTC-regulated Railbird, if DraftKings launches a prediction market, Polymarket Clearing will be its designated clearinghouse (source: @PANewsCN). According to @PANewsCN, this move will advance Polymarket’s B2B business by providing clearing services tied to a CFTC-regulated entity (source: @PANewsCN).

According to the source, Polymarket market pricing indicates a 52 percent probability that BTC trades below 100,000 dollars before month-end, source: Polymarket. A probability above 50 percent signals a mild downside skew and suggests hedging demand near the 100,000 level in the near term, source: Polymarket. Traders can monitor changes in this implied probability to time entries and manage short-term risk in BTC spot and options, source: Polymarket.

According to the source, prediction market data on MyriadMarkets now assigns a 55% probability that BTC moves down to $100K, indicating a bearish skew in near-term positioning (source: user-provided content citing MyriadMarkets odds, Oct 16, 2025). The source frames $100K versus $120K as the key range, making these the critical levels for breakout or breakdown trades and for setting stops and targets in futures and options strategies (source: user-provided content; MyriadMarkets odds). If the $100K outcome stays above 50% on MyriadMarkets, short bias and protective hedges such as put spreads around the 100K strike have higher expected value; if odds flip toward the $120K scenario, momentum longs regain edge with invalidation below recent range lows (source: user-provided content; MyriadMarkets odds).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, attention is rotating from perp DEXs to prediction markets on BNB Chain as Binance-linked resources and Yzi Labs funding concentrate on this track (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author reports that @heyibinance urged teams to build a prediction market on BNB Chain with Yzi Labs investment, prompting many teams to announce participation (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author points to Aster as evidence that the BSC + Yzi Labs + CZ backing can accelerate projects and that Yzi investment is a key entry to the BSC ecosystem (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author identifies Opinion (@opinionlabsxyz) as a Yzi Labs portfolio project invested in 2024 and expects multiple competitors to emerge in the same vertical (source: @ai_9684xtpa). The author states Binance is allocating unprecedented resources to selected sectors and that Meme Rush is using four.meme as a base launchpad, strengthening the funnel for BNB ecosystem projects (source: @ai_9684xtpa). Traders can monitor BNB (BNB) and Yzi-backed prediction-market projects like Opinion for potential narrative-driven flows as Binance resources concentrate on this sector (source: @ai_9684xtpa).

According to the source, unnamed sources indicate a Polymarket token is in development but is unlikely to launch in 2025. Source: Oct 10, 2025 social media post. Traders anticipating a 2025 token-generation event or airdrop should recalibrate timelines to 2026 or later pending official confirmation. Source: Oct 10, 2025 social media post. The post provides no confirmed ticker, tokenomics, listing venues, or snapshot details, offering no immediate trading catalysts. Source: Oct 10, 2025 social media post.

According to the source, Polymarket pricing shows an 83% market-implied probability that the U.S. government shutdown extends past Oct 15 as of Oct 8, 2025, signaling elevated event risk into mid-October for market participants. Source: Polymarket market data.

According to the source, Polymarket pricing implies a 61% probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach $130,000 before the end of this month, based on Yes shares trading near $0.61 in the relevant market as of Oct 7, 2025 (source: Polymarket market data, Oct 7, 2025). For traders, this sets a 61%/39% risk framework for upside versus failure-to-touch scenarios this month, which can inform position sizing and conditional orders around the $130,000 trigger level (source: Polymarket market data, Oct 7, 2025).

According to the source, PUMP has risen roughly 4x from its July low while predictors on MyriadMarkets remain bearish, indicating a divergence between recent price performance and prediction market sentiment (source). According to the source, the referenced charts aim to explain why sentiment is still negative despite the multiweek rally (source).

According to @KobeissiLetter, prediction market Kalshi has surpassed $1 billion in monthly trading volume, with the milestone referenced to Kalshi’s own announcement on X (source: The Kobeissi Letter via X, Sep 15, 2025; Kalshi via X). The cited posts disclose a monthly total but provide no product-level or historical breakdowns, limiting further quantitative comparison from the source material (source: The Kobeissi Letter via X; Kalshi via X). The $1 billion monthly figure provides a stated liquidity benchmark for sizing and routing trades on the venue as reported (source: Kalshi via X; The Kobeissi Letter via X).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Forbes reports that prediction market platform Kalshi is processing about $1 billion in monthly trading volume as of September 15, 2025 (source: Forbes; source: @StockMKTNewz). The post did not provide additional details on market categories, user metrics, or fee structure beyond the headline volume figure (source: @StockMKTNewz). No crypto-specific markets or impacts were specified in the cited summary (source: @StockMKTNewz).

According to @AggrNews, the crypto prediction market platform Polymarket is reportedly considering the launch of its own stablecoin. This development could significantly impact the platform's ecosystem by potentially improving capital efficiency, creating new yield opportunities, and reducing its dependence on third-party stablecoins like USDC. For traders, the introduction of a native stablecoin could be a precursor to further platform developments, including a potential future token airdrop, which is a highly watched catalyst.

According to @nic__carter, the prediction market sector is heating up as two key players, Polymarket and Kalshi, have reportedly achieved $1 billion unicorn valuations. Kalshi, a federally regulated platform, raised over $100 million in a round led by crypto-focused VC firm Paradigm, as reported by Bloomberg. In a parallel move, blockchain-based Polymarket is reportedly raising $200 million in a round led by Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, according to The Information. For traders, key metrics show a competitive landscape: Polymarket currently leads in active trading volume with nearly $600 million compared to Kalshi's $113 million, based on data from Kalshi's API. Furthermore, a Dune dashboard indicates Polymarket has around 186,000 active traders. Polymarket's potential future token launch, previously reported by The Information, remains a significant point of interest for crypto investors evaluating the platform's ecosystem.